Toronto at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jun 12, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Washington by 1.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ WAS

More Games From Jun 12, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR WAS
Points 83.7 89.4
Total Points   173.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 19.7
Points From Free Throws 16.1 20.3
Shooting TOR WAS
Field Goals Made 29.0 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.6 66.5
Field Goal % 43.6% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 27.2
Free Throw % 81.3% 74.8%
Ball Control TOR WAS
Rebounds 33.1 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 14.2
Turnovers 12.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.3
Steals 7.6 4.8
Fouls 21.7 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR WAS
Total Possessions 82.5
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 83.7
% of Possessions with TOR WAS
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.2% 26.3%
Turnover 14.9% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR WAS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 36.5%