Toronto at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 6, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: TOR @ PDX

More Games From Aug 6, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR PDX
Points 91.8 93.1
Total Points   184.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 33.9
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.8
Shooting TOR PDX
Field Goals Made 31.3 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.7 69.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 19.4
Free Throw % 81.0% 81.6%
Ball Control TOR PDX
Rebounds 38.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.6
Turnovers 13.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.5
Steals 7.1 6.5
Fouls 18.0 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR PDX
Total Possessions 83.6
Effective Scoring Chances 81.1 81.6
% of Possessions with TOR PDX
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 33.3%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.6%
Turnover 16.2% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR PDX
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 27.8%