Connecticut at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 30, 2026 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: CON @ DAL

More Games From Aug 30, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON DAL
Points 79.6 88.2
Total Points   167.8
Points From 2-Pointers 49.8 48.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 16.6
Shooting CON DAL
Field Goals Made 30.0 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 68.3 68.6
Field Goal % 43.9% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.9 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 47.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 14.6 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 79.4%
Ball Control CON DAL
Rebounds 39.6 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 19.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON DAL
Total Possessions 83.1
Effective Scoring Chances 81.0 81.0
% of Possessions with CON DAL
2 Point Attempt 54.0% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 22.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.2%
Turnover 15.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON DAL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.5%