Connecticut at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Seattle by 2.5, Total Points: 165.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ SEA

More Games From May 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON SEA
Points 80.8 83.2
Total Points   163.9
Points From 2-Pointers 46.8 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 23.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 18.1
Shooting CON SEA
Field Goals Made 29.1 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 69.7 66.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 23.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 78.7%
Ball Control CON SEA
Rebounds 42.9 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 10.1
Turnovers 13.1 14.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.5
Steals 8.8 7.2
Fouls 18.0 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON SEA
Total Possessions 84.5
Effective Scoring Chances 84.7 79.8
% of Possessions with CON SEA
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.3%
Turnover 15.6% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON SEA
Shot Blocked 6.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 25.5%