Connecticut at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 7, 2025 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 10, Total Points: 174.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ LAS

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	CON	LAS
Points	84.2	87.3
Total Points		171.5
Points From 2-Pointers	51.0	46.3
Points From 3-Pointers	18.6	23.9
Points From Free Throws	14.6	17.2

Shooting	CON	LAS
Field Goals Made	31.7	31.1
Field Goals Attempted	70.4	64.4
Field Goal %	45.0%	48.3%
2 Pointers Made	25.5	23.1
2 Pointers Attempted	49.5	41.4
2 Point Shooting %	51.6%	55.8%
3 Pointers Made	6.2	8.0
3 Pointers Attempted	20.9	22.9
3 Point Shooting %	29.6%	34.7%
Free Throws Made	14.6	17.2
Free Throws Attempted	20.3	22.3
Free Throw %	71.6%	76.9%

Ball Control	CON	LAS
Rebounds	40.3	37.3
Rebounds - Defensive	27.9	29.4
Rebounds - Offensive	12.3	7.9
Turnovers	13.7	15.1
Blocked Shots	4.7	3.6
Steals	9.2	7.3
Fouls	21.5	17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	CON	LAS
Total Possessions	84.7
Effective Scoring Chances	83.3	77.5

% of Possessions with	CON	LAS
2 Point Attempt	50.2%	43.9%
3 Point Attempt	21.3%	24.3%
Player Fouled	20.8%	25.4%
Turnover	16.2%	17.8%
Opponent Steal	8.6%	10.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	CON	LAS
Shot Blocked	5.7%	6.7%
Offensive Rebound	29.5%	22.0%