Connecticut at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jul 30, 2026 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 5.5, Total Points: 176.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ CHI

More Games From Jul 30, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON CHI
Points 82.3 86.4
Total Points   168.6
Points From 2-Pointers 48.5 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 21.0
Points From Free Throws 18.5 20.3
Shooting CON CHI
Field Goals Made 29.3 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 68.8 66.3
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 45.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 18.5 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 26.4
Free Throw % 71.2% 77.1%
Ball Control CON CHI
Rebounds 42.8 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 8.9
Turnovers 13.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.0
Steals 7.4 6.8
Fouls 19.8 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON CHI
Total Possessions 85.6
Effective Scoring Chances 84.4 81.3
% of Possessions with CON CHI
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.1%
Turnover 15.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON CHI
Shot Blocked 7.7% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 22.3%