Connecticut at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 20, 2026 10:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: CON @ LVA

More Games From Aug 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON LVA
Points 76.6 91.3
Total Points   167.9
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 49.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 23.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 19.0
Shooting CON LVA
Field Goals Made 27.8 32.3
Field Goals Attempted 69.7 64.8
Field Goal % 39.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 23.9
Free Throw % 69.7% 79.5%
Ball Control CON LVA
Rebounds 39.5 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 7.7
Turnovers 12.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 5.2
Steals 7.2 6.9
Fouls 20.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON LVA
Total Possessions 83.8
Effective Scoring Chances 82.9 79.2
% of Possessions with CON LVA
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 22.4%
Player Fouled 19.4% 24.4%
Turnover 15.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON LVA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 21.9%