Connecticut at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 20, 2026 10:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: Las Vegas by 14.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ LVA

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	CON	LVA
Points	75.5	91.6
Total Points		167.2
Points From 2-Pointers	42.2	48.1
Points From 3-Pointers	18.2	23.8
Points From Free Throws	15.1	19.7

Shooting	CON	LVA
Field Goals Made	27.2	32.0
Field Goals Attempted	68.7	64.9
Field Goal %	39.5%	49.3%
2 Pointers Made	21.1	24.1
2 Pointers Attempted	49.4	43.5
2 Point Shooting %	42.8%	55.4%
3 Pointers Made	6.1	7.9
3 Pointers Attempted	19.4	21.4
3 Point Shooting %	31.3%	37.0%
Free Throws Made	15.1	19.7
Free Throws Attempted	21.1	24.2
Free Throw %	71.6%	81.6%

Ball Control	CON	LVA
Rebounds	38.2	41.5
Rebounds - Defensive	27.1	33.3
Rebounds - Offensive	11.1	8.2
Turnovers	13.1	12.0
Blocked Shots	2.9	5.2
Steals	7.3	6.6
Fouls	20.6	16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	CON	LVA
Total Possessions	83.3
Effective Scoring Chances	81.3	79.5

% of Possessions with	CON	LVA
2 Point Attempt	51.1%	46.9%
3 Point Attempt	20.1%	23.1%
Player Fouled	19.5%	24.7%
Turnover	15.8%	14.5%
Opponent Steal	7.9%	8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	CON	LVA
Shot Blocked	8.1%	4.2%
Offensive Rebound	25.0%	23.3%