Seattle at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 23, 2026 4:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: Dallas by 8.5, Total Points: 175.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ DAL

More Games From Aug 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA DAL
Points 81.0 88.5
Total Points   169.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 47.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 24.1
Points From Free Throws 14.2 16.7
Shooting SEA DAL
Field Goals Made 29.4 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 72.3 72.2
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.8
Free Throw % 79.1% 80.0%
Ball Control SEA DAL
Rebounds 41.5 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.4
Turnovers 11.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.9
Steals 5.8 6.9
Fouls 16.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA DAL
Total Possessions 84.4
Effective Scoring Chances 83.2 84.8
% of Possessions with SEA DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 25.6%
Player Fouled 17.4% 19.6%
Turnover 14.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 27.1%