Seattle at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 10, 2026 1:00 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: Connecticut by 1.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ CON

More Games From May 10, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA CON
Points 83.3 80.5
Total Points   163.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 16.8
Points From Free Throws 18.0 17.2
Shooting SEA CON
Field Goals Made 28.7 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 69.6
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 18.0 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 24.7
Free Throw % 78.4% 69.7%
Ball Control SEA CON
Rebounds 41.5 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.4
Turnovers 14.9 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.9
Steals 7.2 9.0
Fouls 17.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA CON
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.8 84.9
% of Possessions with SEA CON
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 19.9%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.8%
Turnover 17.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA CON
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 30.0%