Seattle at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jul 6, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 4.5, Total Points: 176.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ LAS

More Games From Jul 6, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA LAS
Points 90.0 88.1
Total Points   178.1
Points From 2-Pointers 47.5 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.1
Shooting SEA LAS
Field Goals Made 33.0 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 72.4 69.5
Field Goal % 45.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.8 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 21.6
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.1%
Ball Control SEA LAS
Rebounds 43.0 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.6
Turnovers 13.5 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.3
Steals 8.1 7.9
Fouls 19.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA LAS
Total Possessions 86.1
Effective Scoring Chances 84.6 82.4
% of Possessions with SEA LAS
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.7%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.2%
Turnover 15.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA LAS
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 23.7%