Seattle at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jul 12, 2026 3:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Washington by 6.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ WAS

More Games From Jul 12, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA WAS
Points 79.5 83.5
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 18.3
Points From Free Throws 14.5 20.2
Shooting SEA WAS
Field Goals Made 28.3 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 69.2 67.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 27.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 72.4%
Ball Control SEA WAS
Rebounds 36.8 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 14.7
Turnovers 12.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.7
Steals 7.6 5.9
Fouls 19.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA WAS
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 80.2 84.3
% of Possessions with SEA WAS
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 21.0%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.7%
Turnover 14.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA WAS
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 34.6%