Seattle at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 20, 2026 3:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 6.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ PHX

More Games From Jun 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA PHX
Points 84.1 82.3
Total Points   166.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 22.0
Points From Free Throws 14.2 20.4
Shooting SEA PHX
Field Goals Made 30.2 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 69.6 65.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 14.2 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 26.1
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.4%
Ball Control SEA PHX
Rebounds 41.5 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.3
Turnovers 13.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.8
Steals 6.9 7.8
Fouls 19.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA PHX
Total Possessions 84.4
Effective Scoring Chances 80.8 81.0
% of Possessions with SEA PHX
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 23.3%
Turnover 15.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA PHX
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 22.6%