Seattle at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 6, 2026 1:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 13.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ MIN

More Games From Jun 6, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA MIN
Points 79.9 91.8
Total Points   171.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 28.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 16.3
Shooting SEA MIN
Field Goals Made 28.5 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 71.2 73.0
Field Goal % 40.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 47.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.0
Free Throw % 79.1% 81.5%
Ball Control SEA MIN
Rebounds 41.3 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.6
Turnovers 14.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.5
Steals 6.7 9.2
Fouls 14.3 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA MIN
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 82.2 85.4
% of Possessions with SEA MIN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 26.3%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.9%
Turnover 17.2% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA MIN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 30.2%