Seattle at New York: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 5, 2026 7:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 8.5, Total Points: 182.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA NYL
Points 85.1 89.5
Total Points   174.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.2 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 29.6
Points From Free Throws 13.8 20.0
Shooting SEA NYL
Field Goals Made 31.1 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 73.0 68.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.1 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 45.6 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 13.8 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 23.3
Free Throw % 78.1% 86.1%
Ball Control SEA NYL
Rebounds 38.9 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.1
Turnovers 11.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.8
Steals 7.0 6.3
Fouls 18.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA NYL
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 83.6 82.5
% of Possessions with SEA NYL
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.8%
Turnover 13.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA NYL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.0%