Seattle at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jul 17, 2026 7:30 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 8.5, Total Points: 177.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ IND

More Games From Jul 17, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA IND
Points 87.4 95.3
Total Points   182.8
Points From 2-Pointers 47.4 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 29.9
Points From Free Throws 16.8 20.4
Shooting SEA IND
Field Goals Made 31.5 32.5
Field Goals Attempted 72.8 70.7
Field Goal % 43.2% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.7 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 82.0%
Ball Control SEA IND
Rebounds 40.1 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.3
Turnovers 12.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 6.5 7.2
Fouls 19.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA IND
Total Possessions 87.3
Effective Scoring Chances 85.8 85.6
% of Possessions with SEA IND
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 27.3%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.3%
Turnover 14.5% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA IND
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.0%