Seattle at Atlanta: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jul 31, 2026 7:30 pm - College Park, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 11.5, Total Points: 179.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ ATL

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	SEA	ATL
Points	84.1	90.0
Total Points		174.1
Points From 2-Pointers	43.9	42.7
Points From 3-Pointers	24.5	24.9
Points From Free Throws	15.7	22.4

Shooting	SEA	ATL
Field Goals Made	30.1	29.6
Field Goals Attempted	66.4	71.7
Field Goal %	45.4%	41.3%
2 Pointers Made	22.0	21.3
2 Pointers Attempted	42.1	43.7
2 Point Shooting %	52.2%	48.8%
3 Pointers Made	8.2	8.3
3 Pointers Attempted	24.3	28.0
3 Point Shooting %	33.6%	29.7%
Free Throws Made	15.7	22.4
Free Throws Attempted	19.8	28.1
Free Throw %	79.2%	79.7%

Ball Control	SEA	ATL
Rebounds	38.0	45.1
Rebounds - Defensive	29.9	30.2
Rebounds - Offensive	8.1	14.9
Turnovers	15.8	12.3
Blocked Shots	5.4	3.6
Steals	6.1	9.6
Fouls	18.6	16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	SEA	ATL
Total Possessions	86.2
Effective Scoring Chances	78.5	88.7

% of Possessions with	SEA	ATL
2 Point Attempt	43.9%	42.4%
3 Point Attempt	25.4%	27.1%
Player Fouled	18.9%	21.6%
Turnover	18.4%	14.3%
Opponent Steal	11.1%	7.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken	SEA	ATL
Shot Blocked	5.2%	8.3%
Offensive Rebound	21.2%	33.2%