Los Angeles at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Sep 17, 2026 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: LAS @ DAL

More Games From Sep 17, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS DAL
Points 84.7 94.3
Total Points   179.0
Points From 2-Pointers 47.3 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 25.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.6
Shooting LAS DAL
Field Goals Made 31.5 36.1
Field Goals Attempted 69.3 72.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 23.7 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 16.9
Free Throw % 77.0% 80.1%
Ball Control LAS DAL
Rebounds 36.2 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.8
Turnovers 12.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.1
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 16.3 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS DAL
Total Possessions 84.1
Effective Scoring Chances 80.0 83.5
% of Possessions with LAS DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.4%
Turnover 15.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS DAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 28.0%