Los Angeles at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 9, 2025 8:30 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 4, Total Points: 165

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS GSV
Points 75.9 88.9
Total Points   164.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 34.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.6
Shooting LAS GSV
Field Goals Made 26.6 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 71.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.3
Free Throw % 76.3% 78.4%
Ball Control LAS GSV
Rebounds 37.0 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.7
Turnovers 14.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.1
Steals 5.4 8.8
Fouls 16.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS GSV
Total Possessions 80.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 82.6
% of Possessions with LAS GSV
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 34.9%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.6%
Turnover 18.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS GSV
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 30.5%