Los Angeles at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Monday Sep 1, 2025 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Seattle by 7.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: LAS @ SEA

More Games From Sep 1, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SEA
Points 85.3 86.7
Total Points   172.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.8 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 26.0
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.0
Shooting LAS SEA
Field Goals Made 30.3 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 69.3 72.9
Field Goal % 43.7% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.6
Free Throw % 76.9% 79.1%
Ball Control LAS SEA
Rebounds 40.6 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.0
Turnovers 14.1 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.4
Steals 8.2 8.7
Fouls 15.1 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SEA
Total Possessions 86.2
Effective Scoring Chances 82.1 84.3
% of Possessions with LAS SEA
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 17.5%
Turnover 16.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SEA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.1%