Los Angeles at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jul 17, 2026 7:30 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 2.5, Total Points: 182.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS CHI
Points 89.0 91.3
Total Points   180.2
Points From 2-Pointers 49.0 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 23.1
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.2
Shooting LAS CHI
Field Goals Made 32.1 33.7
Field Goals Attempted 68.9 71.6
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.1
Free Throw % 76.9% 76.8%
Ball Control LAS CHI
Rebounds 39.4 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.1
Turnovers 13.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.5
Steals 7.0 8.1
Fouls 17.1 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS CHI
Total Possessions 86.8
Effective Scoring Chances 82.2 84.2
% of Possessions with LAS CHI
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 24.5%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.7%
Turnover 15.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS CHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 24.9%