Los Angeles at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 29, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Washington by 2.5, Total Points: 165.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS WAS
Points 83.0 88.5
Total Points   171.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.9 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.8 16.9
Shooting LAS WAS
Field Goals Made 30.6 32.5
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 67.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.4 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 47.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 13.8 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 23.3
Free Throw % 76.9% 72.6%
Ball Control LAS WAS
Rebounds 31.9 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 13.1
Turnovers 12.6 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.7
Steals 8.1 6.1
Fouls 19.7 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS WAS
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 77.8 81.8
% of Possessions with LAS WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 20.3%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.6%
Turnover 15.1% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS WAS
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 34.6%