Los Angeles at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Thursday May 21, 2026 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 2.5, Total Points: 178.5

Matchup Menu: LAS @ PHX

More Games From May 21, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS PHX
Points 88.2 87.8
Total Points   176.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 24.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 17.5
Shooting LAS PHX
Field Goals Made 32.2 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 66.0
Field Goal % 47.7% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 22.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.5%
Ball Control LAS PHX
Rebounds 37.1 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.6
Turnovers 13.7 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 6.8 7.9
Fouls 19.9 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS PHX
Total Possessions 84.3
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 79.8
% of Possessions with LAS PHX
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.6%
Turnover 16.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS PHX
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 22.7%