Los Angeles at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 15, 2026 1:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 11.5, Total Points: 181.5

Matchup Menu: LAS @ MIN

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	LAS	MIN
Points	85.2	102.0
Total Points		187.2
Points From 2-Pointers	40.7	56.1
Points From 3-Pointers	29.4	31.1
Points From Free Throws	15.2	14.8

Shooting	LAS	MIN
Field Goals Made	30.1	38.4
Field Goals Attempted	68.2	74.9
Field Goal %	44.2%	51.3%
2 Pointers Made	20.3	28.0
2 Pointers Attempted	39.6	49.2
2 Point Shooting %	51.4%	57.0%
3 Pointers Made	9.8	10.4
3 Pointers Attempted	28.6	25.7
3 Point Shooting %	34.3%	40.3%
Free Throws Made	15.2	14.8
Free Throws Attempted	19.1	18.2
Free Throw %	79.5%	81.5%

Ball Control	LAS	MIN
Rebounds	34.5	43.3
Rebounds - Defensive	25.7	30.7
Rebounds - Offensive	8.9	12.6
Turnovers	15.4	11.8
Blocked Shots	2.7	5.5
Steals	6.6	9.5
Fouls	14.8	18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	LAS	MIN
Total Possessions	85.8
Effective Scoring Chances	79.3	86.5

% of Possessions with	LAS	MIN
2 Point Attempt	40.9%	49.4%
3 Point Attempt	29.5%	25.9%
Player Fouled	21.0%	17.3%
Turnover	18.0%	13.8%
Opponent Steal	11.1%	7.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken	LAS	MIN
Shot Blocked	7.5%	4.1%
Offensive Rebound	22.4%	32.9%