Los Angeles at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 15, 2026 1:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 11.5, Total Points: 181.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS MIN
Points 82.8 97.9
Total Points   180.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 30.6
Points From Free Throws 13.6 13.4
Shooting LAS MIN
Field Goals Made 30.1 37.2
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 72.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 47.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 16.4
Free Throw % 76.3% 81.6%
Ball Control LAS MIN
Rebounds 35.3 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.7
Turnovers 15.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.6
Steals 6.7 9.5
Fouls 14.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS MIN
Total Possessions 84.0
Effective Scoring Chances 78.8 83.3
% of Possessions with LAS MIN
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 26.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 16.9%
Turnover 18.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS MIN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 31.4%