Los Angeles at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 27, 2026 8:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 6.5, Total Points: 182.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS IND
Points 92.6 102.1
Total Points   194.6
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 50.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 33.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.1
Shooting LAS IND
Field Goals Made 33.7 36.5
Field Goals Attempted 69.7 70.1
Field Goal % 48.4% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.2
Free Throw % 79.1% 81.6%
Ball Control LAS IND
Rebounds 33.6 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.5
Turnovers 13.4 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.1
Steals 7.0 7.2
Fouls 19.9 21.3

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS IND
Total Possessions 87.6
Effective Scoring Chances 82.5 83.9
% of Possessions with LAS IND
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 24.3% 22.8%
Turnover 15.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS IND
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 29.2%