Los Angeles at Atlanta: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jul 13, 2026 7:00 pm - College Park, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 9.5, Total Points: 181.5

Matchup Menu: LAS @ ATL

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	LAS	ATL
Points	88.8	97.2
Total Points		186.0
Points From 2-Pointers	48.7	50.9
Points From 3-Pointers	24.6	27.0
Points From Free Throws	15.5	19.2

Shooting	LAS	ATL
Field Goals Made	32.5	34.5
Field Goals Attempted	64.3	72.2
Field Goal %	50.6%	47.7%
2 Pointers Made	24.4	25.5
2 Pointers Attempted	40.5	44.8
2 Point Shooting %	60.1%	56.8%
3 Pointers Made	8.2	9.0
3 Pointers Attempted	23.7	27.4
3 Point Shooting %	34.5%	32.9%
Free Throws Made	15.5	19.2
Free Throws Attempted	20.3	24.2
Free Throw %	76.5%	79.4%

Ball Control	LAS	ATL
Rebounds	32.8	41.8
Rebounds - Defensive	26.2	27.7
Rebounds - Offensive	6.5	14.1
Turnovers	16.6	13.0
Blocked Shots	3.8	4.0
Steals	6.4	10.3
Fouls	18.7	19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	LAS	ATL
Total Possessions	86.4
Effective Scoring Chances	76.3	87.5

% of Possessions with	LAS	ATL
2 Point Attempt	42.9%	43.9%
3 Point Attempt	25.1%	26.9%
Player Fouled	22.9%	21.6%
Turnover	19.2%	15.1%
Opponent Steal	11.9%	7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken	LAS	ATL
Shot Blocked	5.6%	6.1%
Offensive Rebound	19.1%	35.0%