Los Angeles at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Sep 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS LVA
Points 82.7 94.6
Total Points   177.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 26.3
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.6
Shooting LAS LVA
Field Goals Made 30.0 35.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.2 70.6
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.2
Free Throw % 76.9% 81.6%
Ball Control LAS LVA
Rebounds 36.0 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.8
Turnovers 13.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.5
Steals 7.0 8.0
Fouls 17.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS LVA
Total Possessions 84.5
Effective Scoring Chances 79.0 82.7
% of Possessions with LAS LVA
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 20.8%
Turnover 16.5% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS LVA
Shot Blocked 6.5% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 26.3%