Los Angeles at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Saturday May 23, 2026 8:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: Las Vegas by 9.5, Total Points: 181.5

Matchup Menu: LAS @ LVA

More Games From May 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS LVA
Points 85.3 97.4
Total Points   182.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 27.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.9
Shooting LAS LVA
Field Goals Made 30.8 36.1
Field Goals Attempted 70.2 70.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.8
Free Throw % 77.4% 80.5%
Ball Control LAS LVA
Rebounds 36.1 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.2
Turnovers 13.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.0
Steals 6.7 7.5
Fouls 17.4 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS LVA
Total Possessions 85.1
Effective Scoring Chances 81.2 82.5
% of Possessions with LAS LVA
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.4%
Turnover 15.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS LVA
Shot Blocked 7.2% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 25.5%