Chicago at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 20, 2026 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: Dallas by 10.5, Total Points: 174.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ DAL

More Games From Jun 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI DAL
Points 86.4 90.5
Total Points   176.9
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 17.2 16.3
Shooting CHI DAL
Field Goals Made 31.3 33.5
Field Goals Attempted 70.3 74.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.4
Free Throw % 76.7% 80.1%
Ball Control CHI DAL
Rebounds 39.8 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.8
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.8
Steals 4.8 5.8
Fouls 17.4 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI DAL
Total Possessions 85.6
Effective Scoring Chances 83.0 86.9
% of Possessions with CHI DAL
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.3%
Turnover 13.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI DAL
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 27.3%