Chicago at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 12, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 8.5, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ GSV

More Games From Aug 12, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI GSV
Points 79.1 87.3
Total Points   166.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 28.9
Points From Free Throws 18.3 18.2
Shooting CHI GSV
Field Goals Made 26.9 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 69.9
Field Goal % 41.6% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 18.3 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 23.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 79.1%
Ball Control CHI GSV
Rebounds 39.3 43.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.1 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 12.5
Turnovers 13.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.5
Steals 5.7 7.5
Fouls 18.5 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI GSV
Total Possessions 82.3
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 83.9
% of Possessions with CHI GSV
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.5%
Turnover 15.7% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI GSV
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 29.3%