Chicago at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 13, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 5.5, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ GSV

More Games From May 13, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI GSV
Points 76.8 86.3
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 28.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 17.4
Shooting CHI GSV
Field Goals Made 26.0 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 70.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.7%
Ball Control CHI GSV
Rebounds 39.4 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.7 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.1
Turnovers 12.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.2
Steals 5.1 7.1
Fouls 18.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI GSV
Total Possessions 81.8
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 83.5
% of Possessions with CHI GSV
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.3%
Turnover 15.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI GSV
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 28.2%