Chicago at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 7, 2026 3:00 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: Toronto by 3.5, Total Points: 175.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ TOR

More Games From Jun 7, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI TOR
Points 94.7 90.1
Total Points   184.8
Points From 2-Pointers 50.2 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 26.0
Points From Free Throws 19.8 19.9
Shooting CHI TOR
Field Goals Made 33.3 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 69.9 68.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.1 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 45.9 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 19.8 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 80.6%
Ball Control CHI TOR
Rebounds 39.5 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.2
Turnovers 11.0 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.7
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 18.9 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI TOR
Total Possessions 86.0
Effective Scoring Chances 85.3 83.8
% of Possessions with CHI TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 26.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.0%
Turnover 12.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI TOR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 27.7%