Chicago at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 16, 2026 5:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Chicago by 2.5, Total Points: 177.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ SEA

More Games From Aug 16, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI SEA
Points 86.1 85.3
Total Points   171.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 22.5
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.8
Shooting CHI SEA
Field Goals Made 29.5 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 70.9 72.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 22.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.1%
Ball Control CHI SEA
Rebounds 43.4 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.5
Turnovers 12.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.7
Steals 7.6 7.0
Fouls 16.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI SEA
Total Possessions 87.2
Effective Scoring Chances 85.6 85.6
% of Possessions with CHI SEA
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.0%
Turnover 14.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI SEA
Shot Blocked 8.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 26.0%