Chicago at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jul 10, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 1.5, Total Points: 177.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI LAS
Points 92.2 88.9
Total Points   181.1
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 22.2
Points From Free Throws 16.3 17.3
Shooting CHI LAS
Field Goals Made 34.0 32.1
Field Goals Attempted 71.5 68.7
Field Goal % 47.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 16.3 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 22.7
Free Throw % 77.1% 76.3%
Ball Control CHI LAS
Rebounds 40.3 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.1
Turnovers 12.6 13.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.9
Steals 8.1 7.0
Fouls 20.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI LAS
Total Possessions 86.7
Effective Scoring Chances 84.2 82.2
% of Possessions with CHI LAS
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.1%
Turnover 14.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI LAS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 23.3%