Chicago at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jun 2, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Chicago by 1.5, Total Points: 161.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI WAS
Points 83.3 86.7
Total Points   170.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.7 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 16.1
Points From Free Throws 17.0 21.6
Shooting CHI WAS
Field Goals Made 29.4 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 68.7 65.6
Field Goal % 42.8% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.6 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 17.0 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 29.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 72.4%
Ball Control CHI WAS
Rebounds 34.8 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 13.2
Turnovers 11.1 13.9
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.8
Steals 7.5 5.1
Fouls 21.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI WAS
Total Possessions 84.4
Effective Scoring Chances 81.1 83.7
% of Possessions with CHI WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 17.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 25.6%
Turnover 13.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI WAS
Shot Blocked 7.5% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 32.8%