Chicago at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 5.5, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ MIN

More Games From May 17, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MIN
Points 85.0 96.0
Total Points   181.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 26.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.1
Shooting CHI MIN
Field Goals Made 29.7 35.0
Field Goals Attempted 70.0 74.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.2
Free Throw % 76.6% 81.0%
Ball Control CHI MIN
Rebounds 38.3 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.2
Turnovers 13.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 6.4
Steals 6.1 8.0
Fouls 15.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MIN
Total Possessions 85.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.8 87.5
% of Possessions with CHI MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 23.3%
Player Fouled 19.5% 17.9%
Turnover 15.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MIN
Shot Blocked 8.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 31.8%