Chicago at New York: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 22, 2026 7:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 7.5, Total Points: 178.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ NYL

More Games From Jul 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NYL
Points 87.1 92.3
Total Points   179.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 27.2
Points From Free Throws 16.1 20.6
Shooting CHI NYL
Field Goals Made 31.4 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 71.9 68.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.2
Free Throw % 76.8% 85.3%
Ball Control CHI NYL
Rebounds 36.8 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.3
Turnovers 10.4 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.1
Steals 6.2 5.4
Fouls 19.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NYL
Total Possessions 85.6
Effective Scoring Chances 83.6 83.0
% of Possessions with CHI NYL
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 23.1%
Turnover 12.1% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NYL
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 26.6%