Chicago at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 9, 2025 8:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 11, Total Points: 165

Matchup Menu: CHI @ IND

More Games From Aug 9, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI IND
Points 91.4 99.1
Total Points   190.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 50.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 27.5
Points From Free Throws 19.3 21.2
Shooting CHI IND
Field Goals Made 32.7 34.3
Field Goals Attempted 71.3 69.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 45.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.3 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 26.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 80.0%
Ball Control CHI IND
Rebounds 37.5 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.9
Turnovers 11.7 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 21.4 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI IND
Total Possessions 88.2
Effective Scoring Chances 85.8 85.4
% of Possessions with CHI IND
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.3%
Turnover 13.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI IND
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.1%