Washington at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jul 20, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 8.5, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ GSV

More Games From Jul 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS GSV
Points 74.1 79.5
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 31.4
Points From Free Throws 18.1 14.7
Shooting WAS GSV
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 67.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 18.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 79.2%
Ball Control WAS GSV
Rebounds 44.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.8
Turnovers 14.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.9
Steals 4.2 8.2
Fouls 17.7 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS GSV
Total Possessions 78.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 78.6
% of Possessions with WAS GSV
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 34.8%
Player Fouled 25.7% 22.5%
Turnover 18.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS GSV
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 23.2%