Washington at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: Toronto by 1.5, Total Points: 160.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ TOR

More Games From May 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS TOR
Points 90.0 83.1
Total Points   173.1
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 29.5
Points From Free Throws 19.9 16.0
Shooting WAS TOR
Field Goals Made 31.6 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.4 67.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 19.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 20.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 79.8%
Ball Control WAS TOR
Rebounds 46.0 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 8.8
Turnovers 12.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 18.0 21.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS TOR
Total Possessions 82.5
Effective Scoring Chances 83.8 79.2
% of Possessions with WAS TOR
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 30.8%
Player Fouled 26.0% 21.8%
Turnover 15.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS TOR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 21.7%