Washington at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 24, 2026 6:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Washington by 4.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ SEA

More Games From May 24, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS SEA
Points 83.7 79.6
Total Points   163.2
Points From 2-Pointers 44.3 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 24.1
Points From Free Throws 20.9 14.6
Shooting WAS SEA
Field Goals Made 28.3 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 66.7 69.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.6 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 20.9 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.6 18.6
Free Throw % 72.9% 78.7%
Ball Control WAS SEA
Rebounds 47.5 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 9.3
Turnovers 13.4 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.2
Steals 5.8 7.9
Fouls 16.0 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS SEA
Total Possessions 83.5
Effective Scoring Chances 84.2 80.4
% of Possessions with WAS SEA
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 28.2%
Player Fouled 24.2% 19.1%
Turnover 16.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS SEA
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 21.7%