Washington at New York: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 14, 2026 3:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 13.5, Total Points: 167.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NYL
Points 83.8 85.4
Total Points   169.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.4 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 28.1
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.8
Shooting WAS NYL
Field Goals Made 29.9 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.2 65.9
Field Goal % 43.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 20.7
Free Throw % 73.4% 86.1%
Ball Control WAS NYL
Rebounds 41.2 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.4
Turnovers 12.1 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.1
Steals 4.9 6.3
Fouls 19.6 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NYL
Total Possessions 82.7
Effective Scoring Chances 82.2 78.3
% of Possessions with WAS NYL
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.7%
Turnover 14.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NYL
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 22.1%