Washington at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 23, 2026 7:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Washington by 4.5, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ PDX

More Games From Aug 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS PDX
Points 87.7 83.8
Total Points   171.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.8 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 31.2
Points From Free Throws 22.1 14.2
Shooting WAS PDX
Field Goals Made 29.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 67.2
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 22.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 30.5 17.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 80.1%
Ball Control WAS PDX
Rebounds 44.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 7.7
Turnovers 14.0 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.2
Steals 5.4 7.2
Fouls 16.9 22.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS PDX
Total Possessions 82.2
Effective Scoring Chances 81.6 77.5
% of Possessions with WAS PDX
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 32.5%
Player Fouled 27.3% 20.5%
Turnover 17.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS PDX
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 19.6%