Washington at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Sep 20, 2026 4:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: WAS @ IND

More Games From Sep 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS IND
Points 86.4 90.5
Total Points   176.9
Points From 2-Pointers 50.2 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 29.5
Points From Free Throws 19.6 17.6
Shooting WAS IND
Field Goals Made 30.6 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 67.0
Field Goal % 45.8% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.1 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 19.6 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 21.6
Free Throw % 72.0% 81.7%
Ball Control WAS IND
Rebounds 41.6 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.2
Turnovers 13.5 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.8
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 20.6 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS IND
Total Possessions 84.5
Effective Scoring Chances 83.4 79.9
% of Possessions with WAS IND
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 26.0% 24.4%
Turnover 16.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS IND
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 22.0%