Washington at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 11, 2026 10:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS LVA
Points 79.2 87.9
Total Points   167.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 23.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.1
Shooting WAS LVA
Field Goals Made 26.9 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 66.3 66.8
Field Goal % 40.6% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 20.2
Free Throw % 74.8% 79.5%
Ball Control WAS LVA
Rebounds 43.0 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 6.9
Turnovers 13.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.9
Steals 4.5 7.8
Fouls 18.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS LVA
Total Possessions 82.1
Effective Scoring Chances 81.6 78.9
% of Possessions with WAS LVA
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.4%
Turnover 16.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS LVA
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 18.4%