Phoenix at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Monday Aug 3, 2026 9:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Phoenix by 1.5, Total Points: 179.5

Matchup Menu: PHX @ CHI

More Games From Aug 3, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX CHI
Points 85.8 88.5
Total Points   174.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 25.0
Points From Free Throws 21.9 17.2
Shooting PHX CHI
Field Goals Made 28.7 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 68.4
Field Goal % 44.6% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 21.9 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 22.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 76.8%
Ball Control PHX CHI
Rebounds 39.6 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.2 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.3
Turnovers 12.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.3
Steals 6.7 6.6
Fouls 17.3 21.8

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX CHI
Total Possessions 85.4
Effective Scoring Chances 81.0 81.6
% of Possessions with PHX CHI
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 25.3%
Player Fouled 25.5% 20.2%
Turnover 15.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHX CHI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 21.1%