Phoenix at New York: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 27, 2026 7:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 4.5, Total Points: 169.5

Matchup Menu: PHX @ NYL

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX NYL
Points 84.3 89.2
Total Points   173.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 33.4
Points From Free Throws 17.1 17.1
Shooting PHX NYL
Field Goals Made 29.5 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 66.5 65.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.9
Free Throw % 78.1% 85.9%
Ball Control PHX NYL
Rebounds 34.5 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.1
Turnovers 10.9 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.7
Steals 6.7 5.2
Fouls 18.3 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX NYL
Total Possessions 83.0
Effective Scoring Chances 79.3 77.9
% of Possessions with PHX NYL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 32.4%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.1%
Turnover 13.1% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHX NYL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 24.9%