Minnesota at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 19, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Minnesota by 1.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	MIN	GSV
Points	82.3	82.2
Total Points		164.5
Points From 2-Pointers	39.9	33.8
Points From 3-Pointers	27.9	34.7
Points From Free Throws	14.6	13.7

Shooting	MIN	GSV
Field Goals Made	29.2	28.5
Field Goals Attempted	66.0	70.2
Field Goal %	44.3%	40.6%
2 Pointers Made	20.0	16.9
2 Pointers Attempted	41.8	36.5
2 Point Shooting %	47.7%	46.3%
3 Pointers Made	9.3	11.6
3 Pointers Attempted	24.2	33.7
3 Point Shooting %	38.3%	34.3%
Free Throws Made	14.6	13.7
Free Throws Attempted	17.9	17.5
Free Throw %	81.6%	78.4%

Ball Control	MIN	GSV
Rebounds	40.5	41.2
Rebounds - Defensive	30.3	28.1
Rebounds - Offensive	10.3	13.1
Turnovers	12.5	11.4
Blocked Shots	4.0	3.3
Steals	6.0	6.8
Fouls	15.6	14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	MIN	GSV
Total Possessions	79.4
Effective Scoring Chances	77.2	81.1

% of Possessions with	MIN	GSV
2 Point Attempt	46.0%	38.8%
3 Point Attempt	26.6%	35.8%
Player Fouled	18.2%	19.7%
Turnover	15.7%	14.4%
Opponent Steal	8.6%	7.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken	MIN	GSV
Shot Blocked	4.8%	6.2%
Offensive Rebound	26.7%	30.2%