Minnesota at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Friday Aug 21, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: MIN @ WAS

More Games From Aug 21, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN WAS
Points 88.6 78.3
Total Points   166.8
Points From 2-Pointers 48.3 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 18.0
Shooting MIN WAS
Field Goals Made 32.9 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 71.2 65.0
Field Goal % 46.2% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 14.1 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 24.3
Free Throw % 81.5% 74.3%
Ball Control MIN WAS
Rebounds 37.5 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 13.4
Turnovers 10.7 16.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 2.9
Steals 9.8 4.6
Fouls 18.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN WAS
Total Possessions 82.6
Effective Scoring Chances 81.7 80.0
% of Possessions with MIN WAS
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 22.7%
Turnover 12.9% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN WAS
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 32.7%