Minnesota at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Sep 22, 2026 8:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: MIN @ IND

More Games From Sep 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN IND
Points 96.5 93.3
Total Points   189.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 32.7
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.1
Shooting MIN IND
Field Goals Made 35.9 32.6
Field Goals Attempted 74.4 69.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.0
Free Throw % 81.2% 81.6%
Ball Control MIN IND
Rebounds 39.2 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.8
Turnovers 11.3 14.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.0
Steals 7.7 5.8
Fouls 18.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN IND
Total Possessions 86.0
Effective Scoring Chances 86.5 82.0
% of Possessions with MIN IND
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 27.7%
Player Fouled 18.2% 21.4%
Turnover 13.1% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN IND
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 28.3%