Minnesota at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 13, 2026 8:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: Las Vegas by 3.5, Total Points: 174.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ LVA

More Games From Jun 13, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN LVA
Points 89.9 89.1
Total Points   179.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 28.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.7
Shooting MIN LVA
Field Goals Made 32.8 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 73.8 68.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.7
Free Throw % 81.5% 79.5%
Ball Control MIN LVA
Rebounds 41.5 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 7.4 6.3
Fouls 16.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN LVA
Total Possessions 83.6
Effective Scoring Chances 84.7 80.1
% of Possessions with MIN LVA
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 19.6%
Turnover 12.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN LVA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 22.6%